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Addition Rule in Probability

If A and B are two events in a probability experiment, then the probability that either one of the events will occur is:

P ( A  or  B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B ) P ( A  and  B )

This can be represented in a Venn diagram as:

P ( A B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B ) P ( A B )

If A and B are two mutually exclusive events , P ( A B ) = 0 . Then the probability that either one of the events will occur is: P ( A  or  B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B )

This can be represented in a Venn diagram as:

P ( A B ) = P ( A ) + P ( B )

Example:

If you take out a single card from a regular pack of cards, what is probability that the card is either an ace or spade?

Let X be the event of picking an ace and Y be the event of picking a spade.

P ( X ) = 4 52

P ( Y ) = 13 52

The two events are not mutually exclusive, as there is one favorable outcome in which the card can be both an ace and spade.

P ( X  and  Y ) = 1 52

P ( X  or  Y ) = 4 52 + 13 52 1 52 = 16 52 = 4 13